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A Sham Referendum for any Sham Future
About the 23rd of February, Abdu-Rabbo Mansoor Hadi, the acting president of Yemen, and former v . p . will, certainly, be "elected" president of Yemen. That's according to the agreement sponsored by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in the effort to secure the signature of former president Saleh on that accord.
For a lot of, eliminating Saleh was worth any compromise, such as the blanket immunity he yet others in the regime,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], were given. Saleh, who secured the best deal of any Arab dictator, must have felt re-assured that he would leave the presidency to one of his own men, who has served him faithfully and meekly since 1994, whenever a secessionist southern movement was defeated in a civil war with the Northern central government.
The terms of the agreement stipulate that Hadi could be president for just two years,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], at the conclusion of which Yemenis would elect their own president based on the standard formula; from the slate of presidential candidates. Saleh is reported to be asking Yemeni institutions to remove his photographs from their wall and also to substitute ones of Hadi! I have always thought that it would be fantastic when the menacing photos of such unelected rulers were forever banished.
So, why is it essential for Yemenis to undergo this sham election,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], when it is nothing but a referendum for a man with no competitors? Former president Mubarak went through so many of these referendums,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and was returned to power with the blessing, we were told, of 99% of Egyptian citizens. Furthermore,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], when President Kennedy was assassinated, Vice President Lyndon Johnson stepped smoothly into his shoes,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], with no referendum, because that is what cigerettes president is perfect for.
My very own opinion is the fact that Hadi's role will be a lot longer than the usual two year term,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and that's precisely what Saudi Arabia,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and perhaps america, really wants to see happen,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], since the conservative devil you realize is preferable to the progressive devil you do not know. Such a so-called election can give him the legitimacy he'll requirement for a two-year term,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], after which allow him to seek the presidency for a full term of 5 or six years, at which time his chances of success may have been markedly boosted. At that time, who knows what will happen? Will Iran be there in the present state? Will Saudi oil production have significantly diminished, or at best peaked? In either case it'll buy time for Yemen's neighbours.
Furthermore, this referendum is estimated to cost a the least $48 million, which which would be superior allocated to increasing the collapsing infrastructure in the united states, that is rumoured that, within a number of years, will run out of water.
For citizens from the former People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, such a referendum would only assistance to legitimize what they see as the armed conquest, and plunder of their country, which was planned through the two undemocratic leaders of these two Yemens, without their approval,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and against their wishes.
As always,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], one cannot discuss the problems of Yemen without addressing of other countries in the centre East. In cases like this,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], we should speak of Syria. Commentators have recently stated that the rush of wanton brutality of the Assad regime is really a sign of desperation that should indicate the final chapter from the president's crumbling rule.
When that happens, the remote chance of Saleh's return to Yemen will vanish. The other consequence will be that Bahrain will become the next trouble spot in the region, which will drag Saudi Arabia in to the melee,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], because it was the KSA that sent its fleet of tanks to quell the peaceful protests from the Shia majority in Manamah.
The other Gulf Arab countries are less likely to be affected because of their smaller populations, but also due to a certain degree of democracy enjoyed in Kuwait, the existence of an infinitely more open society in Oman, Qatar, and also the United Arab Emirates, and the near absence of vocal discontent in these "benign and benevolent" dictatorships.
In Yemen, those who enthusiastically support the referendum on Hadi are the ones whose lot will improve together with his presidency, or at least will not be threatened, or who will also gain legitimacy underneath the Hadi government, despite any crimes they've committed under his predecessor Saleh.
Among these will be people in the People's Congress Party who now hold cabinet posts in the so-called coalition government, and still represent Yemen locally and abroad. How can that situation be tenable, particularly if the policies of Hadi were going to differ? But this really is the key reason why I don't believe that they'll be different.
If these predictions end up being accurate, then your problems of Yemen will not improve any time soon, but continues, and could indeed end up in significant violence,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], particularly if the legitimate aspirations of the inhabitants of Aden and the former People's Democratic Republic of Yemen (PDRY)相关的主题文章：

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