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cheapbag214s
Posted: Fri 12:55, 30 Aug 2013
Post subject: Why Venture Capitalists Avoid Innovation
Why Venture Capitalists Avoid Innovation
Investments in innovation are very risky,
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, but the payoffs match the risk. Basically as an investor you need to understand this and to decide how much risk you're willing to take. If you invest in a proven technology and a proven team you're more likely to make a smaller profit, but investments in new technology and often unproved teams can provide obscene paybacks but carry considerably more risk. Google comes to mind as an example.-----iBercovich 1143 days ago | link
I don't think it's that simple. First of all, risk cannot be measured,
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, so the fact that a person takes as much risk as they can bear is incorrect,
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, it's all an illusion. I think it's easy to look back at let's say,
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, Facebook,
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, and say that they were a risky bet with a huge potential for growth. As you say, noone in their right mind would have predicted that facebook would grow this big - but the VC's that did and took a huge risk got an enormous paycheck out of it. Invest in a McDonalds franchise on your local highstreet and you will have a high probability of a low return. It's only when the VC's can judge among a number of opportunites,
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, that they will invest in any of them. Innovators think their ideas are sure things. Apparently a lot of angels get screwed down the road (post VC) because they are no longer playing a big role. The company can issue additional type B stock without issuing more of type A stock. That dilutes the value of each type B share without affecting the value of type A shares.-----netcan 1143 days ago | link
The reason I am confused is this: they still end up with something,
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, sometimes,
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, at least. Otherwise noone would do it. The question is then,
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, why doesn't this become a reduced to absurdity example where past investors are always left with nothing. However our business model is totally standard. 1) Sell units for profit. VCs are right to be cautious around "We have a great idea but no possible way to monetise it."Then again,
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, I agree with pg that you don't need to have a business plan to have a great product. Companies such as twitter can turn into the most exciting startups.-----gridspy 1143 days ago | link
I really liked
"VC's generally don't support subsequent changes to the business plan. A self-funded entrepreneur is constantly making major course corrections, to the point of driving his colleagues crazy. VC's will deny this,
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, but a VC investment is basically a ballistic missile launch,
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, without course corrections."-----csmeder 1143 days ago | link
I think a better argument is VC are only willing to bet on small amount of innovation at a time. (However, the article is worth reading he does ask some interesting questions.)For example Zappos didn't innovate how you sell shoes. Others were already selling shoes online. They simply innovated how you treat the customer and your employees. Thats a small innovation that VCs are willing to bet on.-----inboulder 1142 days ago | link
VCs, despite what they might claim, are not about innovation or even venture. Investment bankers are, on the whole, mediocrities if not outright idiots; the analyst position enables the talentless to trade in their health and well-being in order to have career options that would otherwise be way out of their league. Despite the per-hour rates,
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, there's definitely something alluring about the idea of making more (even if only marginally so) than your peers right out of college. Starting pay at VC's for analysts coming from banking is low relative to other options (especially private equity,
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, which is generally the top choice). The bankers who come to VC either aren't good enough for better options or are genuinely interested in being involved with innovation,
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, or at least the illusion of it.-----
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